BY LUCY CAULKETT
EU polls got the outcome of the referendum wrong, another reason polls can’t be relied upon.
Several EU polls had the Remain camp ahead at various stages of the build up. At times, they were neck and neck, with no clear indication of what way the vote would go.
Polls provide an approximation of what to expect of outcomes. They are generally not dependable. Polls for last year’s election gave Ed Militant a hope, only to drop him hard in the final results.
Remain likewise, seemed to be gathering pace in the final week of the election. Voting day looked even more promising for the Remain camp.
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So much that Ukip leader, Nigel Farrage, conceded defeat hours before things turned around for him. All the polls failed to take account of the final hours. the change of heart that can happen with some, and turn out numbers. This is one of the reasons the polls got the eu referendum wrong.
Voters turned out in Numbers all over Northern England, but London had a fairly low turn out rate, despite their firm collective vote to remain in the EU.
Missing from the polls trending in the days and weeks before was this crucial element. It is always going to be difficult to speculate on turn out numbers. We will never know how many more remain or Brexit supporters in London failed to support their team.
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The polls also got the eu referendum wrong because of the weather. Weather conditions vary in different parts of the country, and can affect people’s decision to go out.
The weather did not affect many in this largest voting referendum ever seen in the UK. Many were unhinged in their determination to make their vote count, despite the weather. After all, the weather does not stop a car moving.
Perhaps we should not rely on polls too much, although polls could potentially inspire others to vote in order to have their voice heard. Nigel Farage said June 23 should be remembered as independence day, whilst some saw described the results as a sad day for Britain.
However, it really is a great day for Britain, as we now will have full control over our boarders and our judges can now have the last say on their rulings.
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